Zurück zu den Modellen
Forecaster

NeuralProphet

NeuralProphet forecaster by wrapping NeuralProphet algorithm [1].

Direct interface to NeuralProphet, using the sktime interface. All hyper-parameters are exposed via the constructor.

Data can be passed in one of the sktime compatible formats. Like Prophet, NeuralProphet also supports integer/range and period index: * integer/range index is interpreted as days since Jan 1, 2000 * PeriodIndex is converted using the pandas method to_timestamp

Schnellstart

python
from sktime.forecasting.neuralprophet import NeuralProphet

estimator = NeuralProphet(freq=None, add_seasonality=None, custom_seasonalities=None, add_country_holidays=None, growth='linear', changepoints=None, n_changepoints=10, changepoints_range=0.8, yearly_seasonality=True, weekly_seasonality=True, daily_seasonality=False, seasonality_mode='additive', seasonality_reg=0, holidays=None, holidays_mode='additive', holidays_reg=0, trend_reg=0, trend_reg_threshold=False, learning_rate=None, epochs=None, batch_size=None, loss_func='Huber', alpha=0.05, uncertainty_samples=1000, verbose=False)

Parameter(25)

freqstr, optional
Frequency of time series (e.g. ‘D’, ‘M’, etc.)
add_seasonalitydict, optional
Additional seasonality component parameters
custom_seasonalitieslist of dict, optional
Custom seasonality components
add_country_holidaysdict, optional
Country holidays to include
growthstr, default=”linear”
Type of trend (‘linear’ or ‘flat’)
changepointslist, optional
List of dates for trend changepoints
n_changepointsint, default=10
Number of potential trend changepoints
changepoints_rangefloat, default=0.8
Proportion of history for changepoints
yearly_seasonalitybool, default=True
Whether to include yearly seasonality
weekly_seasonalitybool, default=True
Whether to include weekly seasonality
daily_seasonalitybool, default=False
Whether to include daily seasonality
seasonality_modestr, default=”additive”
How seasonality is combined (‘additive’ or ‘multiplicative’)
seasonality_regfloat, default=0
Regularization strength for seasonality
holidayspd.DataFrame, optional
Custom holidays DataFrame
holidays_modestr, default=”additive”
How holidays are combined (‘additive’ or ‘multiplicative’)
holidays_regfloat, default=0
Regularization strength for holidays
trend_regfloat, default=0
Regularization strength for trend
trend_reg_thresholdbool, default=False
Threshold for trend regularization
learning_ratefloat, default=None
Maximum learning rate (applicable in quasi-Newton optimization)
epochsint, default=None
Number of training epochs
batch_sizeint, default=None
Number of samples per mini-batch
loss_funcstr, default=”Huber”
Type of loss to use (e.g., “Huber”, “MSE”, “MAE”, etc.)
alphafloat, default=0.05
Width of the uncertainty intervals
uncertainty_samplesint, default=1000
Number of samples for estimating uncertainty intervals
verbosebool, default=False
Whether to print status information during fitting

Beispiele

>>> from sktime.datasets import load_airline
>>> from sktime.forecasting.neuralprophet import NeuralProphet
>>> # NeuralProphet requires data with a pandas.DatetimeIndex
>>> y = load_airline (). to_timestamp (freq = 'M')
>>> forecaster = NeuralProphet (
... n_changepoints = 0,
... yearly_seasonality = False,
... weekly_seasonality = False,
... daily_seasonality = False,
... epochs = 5,
... uncertainty_samples = 0,
... verbose = False
... )
>>> forecaster. fit (y) NeuralProphet(
... )
>>> y_pred = forecaster. predict (fh = [1, 2, 3 ])

Referenzen